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Fed leaves rates unchanged as expected at 5.25-5.50%; removes reference to possible additional rate hikes; does not expect it will be appropriate to cut rates until there is greater confidence inflation is moving sustainably towards 2%US Private Payrolls* (Jan) 317.0k vs. Exp. 155.0k (Prev. 164.0k, Rev. 278k)

Darren Krett

Wednesday, 31 January 2024

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Apple earnings option plays

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Well TBH, looking at the chart, it really could go either way, but I am just showing you the best risk/reward trades out of a billion different iterations...

could go either way

If you're on the iPhone train then there is a good chance that a better-than-expected report could send APPL up to challenge the $200 area, so with that in mind, these are the inputs into BB1, basically targeting $200, but I want to cover a range of $192 to $210 and I'm willing to give it around 2 weeks target parameters

And these were the results

These are the best-value trades, but unless you're a seasoned trader that fully understands risk, I would just opt to filter to "vanilla" trades

the vanilla option

I actually prefer the choice here anyway..no mucking about, just buy the $200 call, even though you are in a 2 week option it will monetize pretty well even tomorrow if we were to shift volatility lower too For those Android users out there, if we were to break that ascending wedge then we could easily target the $170 area

I want to give this one a little more time, so Im looking 40ish days out looking somewhere between target, anywhere between $165 to $177

I want to give this one a little more time, so Im looking 40ish days out looking somewhere between $165 to $177 , aiming for $170.

the downside list

and again filtering "vanilla" trade, BB likes a pretty simple trade. The 175/165 put spread or bear spread. I like this one as the heatmap shows it monetizes pretty quick and has a lot more "green" than "red"

So there you have it, if you're bearish the 03/15/24 175/165 put spread and if you're bullish, its the 02/16/24 200 call for you.

Best of luck!

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